How likely is it that an overheated laptop will start a fire?

How likely is it that an overheated laptop will start a fire?

The probability is 7.1496%, says my magic ball.

Doesn't have to be exact the answer high, very low is also sufficient 🙄

Let me put it this way, it is not very likely, but it can't be ruled out either.

Thank you

Very low, I have often forgotten to turn off my laptop and left it in a notebook bag in a completely closed backpack for several hours, including overnight.

It was very hot afterwards, but nothing happened to the laptop.